✅ TEAM LISTS CONFIRMED

Wests Tigers vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Tips – Round 24

Tigers need a win to keep faint finals hopes alive; Manly chasing the top 8 after three straight losses. Indigenous Round spotlight and Sunday day game. • 2025-08-17 14:00 • Allianz Stadium

Same Game Multi
$6.48
Confidence 62%
  • Sea Eagles -2.5 Bet365 $1.91
  • Over 47.5 Bet365 $1.91
  • Jason Saab anytime Neds $2.02

Why: Right-edge led Manly win aligns with a faster day track and Tigers' left-edge leak; over complements the edge narrative; Saab finish is the primary lane. Prices are near even-money on side/total to keep variance manageable.

Best Value Tryscorer

$2.02

Jason Saab anytime

Wests concede heavily to LW (their left wing) and Tigers' left-side defence rates poorly Manly's right-side attack is one of their best weapons with DCE kicking and Koula drawing defenders. Day conditions and Turbo's sweep patterns enhance Saab's finishing probability.

Other props: Tolutau Koula ATS $2.45 (Bet365), Lehi Hopoate ATS $2.10 (Neds), Tom Trbojevic ATS $2.20 (TAB), Starford To'a ATS $3.30 (Ladbrokes)

Match Preview

Heading 1

Tempo, territory and spine influence. This sets up as a positive pace game for a Sunday afternoon at Allianz. With fine weather and a good surface, both sides can lean into their ball-movement identities rather than grind. Manly’s spine of Tom Trbojevic, Luke Brooks and Daly Cherry-Evans generates yardage through early-shift width and right-edge kick pressure, while the Tigers’ Luai-Doueihi pairing plays with tempo when front-foot ruck speed appears. The loss of Jake Trbojevic trims Manly’s middle control, but Jazz Tevaga’s engine keeps possession chains alive; expect a few extra second-phase moments. The Tigers’ reshuffle (Twal edge, Pole starting) adds size but can be isolated laterally. Overall territory should shade Manly due to kick-chase and early-set exits led by DCE and Turbo.

Heading 2

Where tries come from: edges not middles. Lanes data and lists point directly at Manly’s right edge against the Tigers’ left defence. Wests have conceded heavily on their LW channel, and Manly’s right side ranks among their best strike corridors with Koula’s speed and Saab’s aerial finishing. DCE’s cross-field kicks and Brooks’ sweep lines pull the Tigers’ edge into poor spacing, creating one-on-ones for Saab. Conversely, the Tigers’ own right-side attack is their most dangerous and can challenge Manly’s left-edge defence, which is mid-pack; To’a’s return and Turuva’s finishing keep the hosts live on that corridor. Add competent goal-kickers and a day track and the script tilts to multiple edge tries rather than middle crash plays, supporting an over lean.

Heading 3

Form, H2H and how changes impact odds. Manly have dropped three straight despite decent yardage, mirroring a conversion problem more than structural collapse; the return of Ben Trbojevic to the edge and Garrick defending at centre should stabilise their edge reads. The Tigers are 3-2 across five and energised after upsetting the Bulldogs, but their defensive profile remains left-edge fragile. H2H favours Manly (seven of the past eight, including 28-10 in Round 17), and the current market sets a small -2.5. Our script rates Manly by a little more than a field goal on a higher-total game given the edge mismatches. That underpins the SGM: Sea Eagles -2.5, Over 47.5, and Jason Saab anytime. The three legs tell a single story of Manly territory ascendancy translating into right-edge finishing, while the Tigers’ own right-side response helps the total clear in friendly conditions.

Team Lists & Changes

Wests Tigers

Home

Ins

  • Charlie Murray, Heath Mason, Starford To'a

Outs

  • Alex Seyfarth, Tristan Hope

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles

Away

Ins

  • Ben Trbojevic, Joey Walsh, Lehi Hopoate

Outs

  • Jake Trbojevic, Michael Chee Kam
⚡

Why This Matters

Tigers: To'a returns to bolster edge attack Twal shifts to edge with Pole starting in the middle fresh bench adds punch. Manly: Jake Trbojevic out weakens middle resilience Tevaga at lock ups workrate but less control Ben Trbojevic back to the edge Garrick to centre Hopoate brings finishing. Net tilt toward Manly's right edge strike.

Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.

Head to Head & Form

Wests Tigers — Form Notes

Last few weeks
Tigers 3-2 last five with upset over Bulldogs Sunday results strong historically this season.

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles — Form Notes

Last few weeks
Manly 2-3 last five and on a three-game skid struggling to convert yardage to points.

Recent History

H2H
Sea Eagles have won 7 of the past 8 vs Tigers won Round 17 this year 28-10 Tigers last beat Manly in 2024 (34-26).

Key Matchups

Manly right edge (Koula Saab DCE) vs Tigers left edge (May Skelton Twal) Koroisau vs Simpkin at hooker Turbo vs Bula at fullback middle rotation Pole/Twal vs Lodge/Taukeiaho.

X-Factors

Tom Trbojevic Daly Cherry-Evans Apisai Koroisau Jarome Luai Tolutau Koula

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