Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors Tips – Round 25
Titans avoid spoon; Warriors chase top-4 seeding • SAT 5:30 PM AEST • Cbus Super Stadium
By FreeMultiTips • •AEST
- Warriors 1-12 $2.90
- Over 49.5 $1.93
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak anytime $1.75
Why: Warriors edge class with CNK back; Titans still find points; 1-12 captures road squeeze while Over rides both-edge leakage; DWZ attacks Titans left wing which has conceded heavily.
Best Value Tryscorer
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak anytime
Other props: Roger Tuivasa-Sheck anytime $1.83, Adam Pompey anytime $2.75, Phillip Sami anytime $2.05
Match Preview
Tempo & Territory
Warriors should control yardage through Fisher-Harris and Vaimauga into quick rucks for Egan, with Capewell and Niukore straightening sets. CNK returning to fullback improves backfield meters and kick returns, helping swing early territory. The Titans can still break lines through Brimson and Campbell on shifts, but their ruck integrity has been fragile and discipline lapses hand possession back. Expect Warriors to kick to corners and pressure De Groot and Sami, then launch edge shapes to the right where Titans left-edge spacing has been suspect. Titans will chase tempo and second-phase via Tino and Fotuaika, trying to drag the game into a shootout at home.
Form, Stakes & H2H
Titans sit 17th and are staring at the spoon after leaking 40 plus five times, including 54 to the Sharks. They did upset the Warriors 24-16 in Auckland a month ago and have won four of the past five H2H, so they will believe. Warriors are 4th, have won six of their last eight in Australia, and get three key ins in Capewell, Te Maire Martin, and Berry, with CNK back to fullback. Recent Warriors form is mixed (2-3 last five) but the spine cohesion improves with Egan and CNK steering yardage and exits. Venue edge to Titans at Cbus, but Warriors overall defensive standard is higher. Stakes are clear: Titans fight to avoid the spoon; Warriors protect top-4 seeding.
Lanes & Bets
Lane data points to Warriors joy on their right edge against Titans left, where LW and LC concessions are elevated. That suits DWZ as the primary finisher, with Berry also live on the unders line. Titans can still land punches on their left through Sami if the game opens up, which leans the total upward. Script is Warriors by one score in a high-tempo contest: pack wins territory, edges cash, but Titans contribute points. Recommended play is Warriors -4.5 with a nudge to Over 49.5. For the SGM, tighten to Warriors 1-12 to capture the close-road profile, pair with Over, and add DWZ anytime to align with the right-edge mismatch. This trio tells one story: Warriors win on edges, Titans score enough to clear the bar, and DWZ finishes the lane advantage.
Team Lists & Changes
Gold Coast Titans
HomeIns
- Brian Kelly, Jojo Fifita, Klese Haas, Sean Mullany, Tom Weaver
Outs
- Jaimin Jolliffe, David Fifita
New Zealand Warriors
AwayIns
- Bunty Afoa, Edward Kosi, Kalani Going, Kurt Capewell, Rocco Berry, Te Maire Martin
Outs
- Freddy Lussick, Jackson Ford
Why This Matters
Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.
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