South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons Tips – Round 25
Rabbitohs chase three straight; Dragons cling to slim finals hope; wet-weather leveller. • THU 7:50 PM AEST • Accor Stadium
By FreeMultiTips • •AEST
- Rabbitohs 1-12 $3.20
- Under 41.5 $1.91
- Keaon Koloamatangi anytime $5.40
Why: Wet conditions compress scoring and favour the stronger middle. Souths gain Koloamatangi and Hubner while Dragons are light on without de Belin and Sele. Venue lean to Souths but rain narrows the gap; prefer Souths by a try and the Under. SGM aligns to a grind: Souths 1-12, Under 41.5, and a prop crash option in Koloamatangi.
Best Value Tryscorer
Damien Cook anytime try
Other props: Jacob Host anytime ($7.50), Jai Arrow anytime ($7.30), Siliva Havili anytime ($8.00), Alex Johnston anytime ($1.85)
Match Preview
Tempo & Territory
Heavy rain and a saturated track point to slower rucks, shorter sets and more yardage through the middle. With Koloamatangi named at prop and Hubner back at lock, Souths should be better through-contact and in set starts. Dragons arrive with a lighter engine room after de Belin and Sele outs, so Klemmer and Guler must shoulder longer minutes. Expect a territorial arm wrestle with long kicks and reduced ball movement, lowering error tolerance and overall pace.
Form, Stakes & H2H
Souths have banked consecutive wins and can notch three straight for the first time this year, while the Dragons have shown resilience with wins over Sharks and Raiders but now face conditions that mute their edge strike. Accor history leans to the Rabbitohs and the near pick market reflects a narrow true margin. In the wet, finishing rates drop and second-half fatigue favours the side with the sturdier middle rotation, which on team changes tilts to Souths.
Lanes & Bets
Weather suppresses the touchlines and elevates middle crash and dummy-half chances. That supports an Under angle against the 41.5 band and brings forwards into ATS focus. Souths’ upgraded pack suits a 1-12 style result rather than a blowout, while Dragons’ best route to points is a hooker dart from Damien Cook. The recommended build tells one story: Souths to edge a grinder (1-12), total Under 41.5, and Koloamatangi to score via close-range power in the wet.
Team Lists & Changes
South Sydney Rabbitohs
HomeIns
- Fletcher Myers, Keaon Koloamatangi, Lachlan Hubner
Outs
- Bayleigh Bentley-Hape, Liam Le Blanc
St George Illawarra Dragons
AwayIns
- Ben Murdoch-Masila, Blake Lawrie, Nathan Lawson, Raymond Faitala-Mariner
Outs
- Hame Sele, Hamish Stewart, Jack De Belin
Why This Matters
Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.
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