Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs vs Penrith Panthers Tips – Round 26
Bulldogs can secure top-4 with a win; Panthers prioritise rest with top-4 unlikely. • THU 7:50 PM AEST • Accor Stadium
By FreeMultiTips • •AEST
- Bulldogs -19.5 $1.90
- Over 43.5 $1.90
- Jacob Preston anytime try-scorer $2.70
Why: All legs tell the same story: Dogs dominate territory and right edge against a youthful Panthers unit; Burton kicks to corners, middle wins weight of possession; Dogs can post 30+ with bench impact.
Best Value Tryscorer
Jacob Preston anytime try-scorer
Other props: Matt Burton anytime ($2.80), Stephen Crichton anytime ($2.30), Connor Tracey anytime ($2.50), Marcelo Montoya anytime ($1.68)
Match Preview
Tempo & Territory
Expect a Bulldogs-forwarded game where the middle sets the tone. With Kikau sidelined, Curran’s work rate plugs the left edge while King and Hughes should own the ruck against a Panthers pack led by Eisenhuth and sprinkled with rookies. Canterbury’s yardage has been strong even in defeat, and Burton’s long kicking should pin a youthful back three and invite repeat sets. Tracey’s support play and Kiraz’s set starts compress the Panthers’ line, opening early shifts and short balls to the Dogs’ right. Penrith’s halves pairing of Cole and Schneider will steer competently, but without the usual punch around the ball, territory is likely to tilt blue-and-white. If Soni Luke brings spark through the middle, Penrith can generate a few quick rucks, yet sustained field position favors Canterbury, whose bench (Mann, Tupouniua, Suluka-Fifita, Mahoney) keeps the tempo high.
Form, Stakes & H2H
Bulldogs sit 3rd with seven wins from nine at Accor in 2025 and come off a brave loss in Melbourne despite a 10-3 line-break count. Penrith have dropped back-to-back golden point games after a mid-season surge, but this week’s profile matters more than their season baseline: Cleary rests 16 first-choice players and fields a low-experience 17 with multiple debutants. H2H leans heavily to Penrith (eight straight), and the Dogs have not beaten them at Accor since 2018, yet that dominance was built by the very core that is sitting out. Ladder-wise, a Bulldogs win virtually locks a top-4 berth; Penrith’s focus is health for finals. Read less into the Panthers’ usual metrics here; this is effectively their second team.
Lanes & Bets
The cleanest script is Dogs by a margin with points on their right. Bulldogs have 14 tries at RW and 9 from R2RF, and the Panthers’ left edge has conceded 22. That targets Kiraz and, more value-wise, Preston. Props have also crossed 13 times for the Dogs, so crash plays near the posts remain live off Mahoney or Mann. Penrith’s best chance is their left corridor where the club’s LW/LC production is typically strong, but finishing efficiency is uncertain with debutants. Betting-wise, Bulldogs -19.5 aligns with the territory and fatigue edge; Over 43.5 rides the idea that Canterbury can reach the low-30s and force the total up late. For ATS, Preston at around $2.70 fits the lane, price, and strike profile better than short wings. Correlate a simple SGM: Dogs -19.5, Over 43.5, Preston anytime, all telling the same story of right-edge dominance and a comfortable Canterbury cover.
Team Lists & Changes
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
HomeIns
- Daniel Suluka-Fifita, Enari Tuala, Jake Turpin, Kurtis Morrin, Lipoi Hopoi, Toby Sexton
Outs
- Harry Hayes, Viliame Kikau
Penrith Panthers
AwayIns
- Asu Kepaoa, Austin Dias, Billy Scott, Billy Phillips, Daine Laurie, David Fale, Jack Cole, Jaxen Edgar, Jesse McLean, Luke Sommerton, Luron Patea, Matthew Eisenhuth, Mavrik Geyer, Niko Apelu, Preston Riki, Riley Price, Riley Wake, Sione Fonua, Soni Luke, Zac Lipowicz
Outs
- Blaize Talagi, Brian To'o, Casey McLean, Dylan Edwards, Isaah Yeo, Isaiah Papali'i, Izack Tago, Liam Henry, Liam Martin, Lindsay Smith, Luke Garner, Mitch Kenny, Moses Leota, Nathan Cleary, Scott Sorensen, Thomas Jenkins
Why This Matters
Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.
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