Dolphins vs Gold Coast Titans Tips – Round 26
Dolphins must win to stay in finals hunt; Titans playing to avoid last place. • SUN 4:05 PM AEST • Suncorp Stadium
By FreeMultiTips • •AEST
- Dolphins H2H $1.53
- Over 55.5 $1.90
- Jake Averillo Anytime Try $2.55
Why: All legs tell the same story: Dolphins win via edges in a high total; H2H preferred over line given Dolphins leak points; Averillo targets Titans left edge where they concede heavily.
Best Value Tryscorer
Jake Averillo Anytime Try
Other props: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow ($2.02), Tevita Naufahu ($1.75), Connelly Lemuelu ($2.50)
Match Preview
Tempo & Territory
The derby profiles fast and loose at Suncorp on a fine track. The Dolphins' last three weeks have been chaos (160 points conceded) and their first-try minutes across recent games are early, while the Titans have repeatedly leaked in the opening quarter. With Kodi Nikorima back next to Isaiya Katoa, the hosts regain shape on both edges and should own early territory through a fresher middle rotation (Stone/Nicholls/Kerr). The Titans, despite a big middle headed by Tino Fa'asuamaleaui and Moeaki Fotuaika, have struggled to control ruck speed and give up 5.09 tries per game. Expect the Dolphins to push tempo, kick to corners, and test the Titans' left edge repeatedly, then shift to their own left once fatigue sets in. High total game flow with both sides finding space in transition sets.
Form, Stakes & H2H
The Dolphins sit 9th and must win to keep finals hopes alive after a three-game slide (30-58 Sea Eagles, 28-38 Broncos, 12-64 Roosters) that followed wins over the Warriors (20-18) and Cowboys (43-24). The Titans are 17th and 2-3 over their past five (18-32 Warriors, 22-54 Sharks, 18-20 Rabbitohs, 26-30 Panthers, 24-16 Warriors), playing for pride amid off-field noise. Head-to-head leans Dolphins 4-1 across the last five, including 36-10 in Round 5, 2025. Suncorp factors help the home side, and Jeremy Marshall-King hits game 150. The Titans have conceded 82 points in two Suncorp outings this season.
Lanes & Bets
Lane data is clear: Dolphins right-side attack (22 tries) against the Titans' left-side defense which has allowed 34 and ranks 17th. That points to the Isaako-Averillo-Katoa corridor, with Jake Averillo the value anytime option at a backable $2.55 versus Jamayne Isaako's shorter $1.68. The Dolphins attack ranks 4th for tries (104, 4.73 per game), while the Titans defense ranks 17th (112 conceded, 5.09 per), supporting an Over. Recommended: Dolphins -6.5 on the line and Over 55.5. Same game multi: Dolphins H2H, Over 55.5, Averillo ATS. Secondary leans: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow any time at $2.02 given his 17 tries in his last 11 at Suncorp; Tevita Naufahu at $1.75 on the opposite wing if the game breaks open late.
Team Lists & Changes
Dolphins
HomeIns
- James Walsh
- Kodi Nikorima
- LJ Nonu
Outs
- Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
- Max Feagai
Gold Coast Titans
AwayIns
- Carter Gordon
- Cooper Bai
Outs
- Phillip Sami
Why This Matters
Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.
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