Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters Tips – Round 28
Elimination Final; do or die for a semi spot • SAT 7:50 PM AEST • Sharks Stadium
By FreeMultiTips • •AEST
- Roosters H2H $1.67
- Over 46.5 $1.95
- Daniel Tupou anytime $1.84
Why: Roosters tempo and recent attack travel; Over aligns with both sides averaging 4+ tries; Tupou finishes Roosters left-edge raid against Sharks wide channels; all three legs tell the same fast, edge-focused story.
Best Value Tryscorer
Daniel Tupou anytime
Other props: Sione Katoa anytime ($2.05), KL Iro anytime ($2.70), James Tedesco anytime ($2.25)
Match Preview
Tempo & Territory
Expect a fast, field-position shootout. Roosters arrive red hot, kicking early behind Walker to pin the Sharks and then shifting quickly to edges where they have been ruthless. Collins and Leniu set a brutal middle tempo, but the real yardage comes from Tedesco and the wingers on kick-returns, tilting territory their way. Cronulla at home have strung six straight at Sharks Stadium and typically start on-song, with Brailey controlling ruck speed and Hynes driving repeat sets. With Trindall back, Cronulla’s right-edge sequencing improves, allowing early ball to Ramien and Katoa and short-angle options for Wilton. Finals intensity usually squeezes errors, but both sides have leaned into up-tempo footy across the past six weeks, so pace should remain high with frequent red-zone sets and short restarts.
Form, Stakes & H2H
Form is genuine on both sides: Sharks 4-1 in their last five with statement wins over Knights and Titans, Roosters 4-1 featuring blowouts of Storm and Dolphins. The stakes are binary: lose and you are out. H2H is tight but venue leans Sharks; last meeting at this ground in Round 20 was a 31-18 Cronulla win, while the Roosters belted Cronulla 42-16 earlier in the year. Ladder context says 5th v 8th, but Roosters’ recent spike narrows the gap. Sharks have struggled a touch vs top-8 overall, while Roosters have lifted against stronger opponents lately. Overall narrative is a one-score game swinging on kick-pressure and yardage off backfield carries.
Lanes & Bets
Lane data screams edges. Roosters’ wingers are in form and Cronulla’s edges have conceded plenty, particularly to wide men. Conversely, Sharks’ best attacking lane is the right side, matching Katoa and Ramien against Roosters’ right-edge D, which ranks strong but will be stressed by repeat sets. That underpins Over 46.5 as our total lean. With market favouring Roosters around $1.67, our script shades them by a couple given yardage and recent efficiency; recommended line Roosters -1.5. For ATS, Daniel Tupou profiles best in price and role, while Katoa and Iro are the Sharks correlates if you want a split stake. The SGM builds cleanly: Roosters H2H, Over 46.5, Tupou anytime.
Team Lists & Changes
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
HomeIns
- Braydon Trindall
- Briton Nikora
- Hohepa Puru
Outs
- Mawene Hiroti
- Thomas Hazelton
Sydney Roosters
AwayIns
- Salesi Foketi
- Sandon Smith
Outs
- Ethan King
Why This Matters
Squad changes driving edge, totals and SGM angles.